The “new Coronavirus COVID-19 epidemic outbreak” became the COVID-19 pandemic. With time we learn more about the SARS-CoV-2 (the virus), the COVID-19 (the disease) and its multiple components and impacts. As a result, we must continue to closely monitor it, using the best possible ressources available.

All actors should also develop scenarios to make sure they are ready across all possible futures.

Here, you will find a list of reliable sources to monitor the COVID-19 epidemic outbreak and its virus, the SARS-CoV-2.

Considering the danger of the spread of fake news enhanced and fed by the fear related to an epidemic, this is a contribution to struggling against dangerous perceptions and rumours.

Official and Scientific – To follow the evolution of the outbreak in near real-time and statistics’ estimates for the future

Help us continue offering open access/free articles on the COVID-19
Donation – Fund Analysis for the War against COVID-19

John Hopkins CSSE: Tracking the COVID-19 (ex 2019-nCoV) spread in real-time – map and graphs. This remains the best resource for quasi real time update. Mobile Version

Reuters COVID-19 Global tracker

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) – daily situation update worldwide

1Point3Acres – COVID-19 in US and Canada and for the world: real time updates – Detailed updates per state for the U.S.

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME): COVID-19 Projections grounded in real official data, with peak estimates, total fatalities estimate, and impact on hospital system – data and projections for U.S. per states, for the EEA, and for some states/regions of some EU states (Germany, Italy, Spain) – Beware, the projections have been criticised by epidemiologists for being unreliable.

U.S. only: The COVID tracking project

International Society for Infectious Diseases: ProMED-mail.

WHO Map of updates, but it is late compared with the John Hopkins map (see reference above).

Official and governmental sources about the COVID-19 epidemic outbreak

World Health Organization (WHO): website for the outbreak of 2019–nCov.

Countries with major epidemic outbreaks (all phases – per alphabetical order)

As the pandemic spreads to more countries, we only give sources for the first countries infected.

China

COVID-19, epidemics, scenario, risk analysis, strategic foresight, warning, threat anticipation
Consider Coronavirus risks: commissioned reports
Listed firms are urged to factor coronavirus risks in their financial disclosures (US SEC urged ,19 Feb; UK FRC, 18 Feb 20). All companies should consider the future likely impacts of the COVID-19 outbreak on their activity.
Contact us for commissioned reports helping you to plan ahead and fulfil your obligations. Also contact Dr Helene Lavoix directly.

Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CCDC): website.

China CDC: distribution of infection of new coronavirus (updated map and figures).

China CDC: Tracking the epidemic

In Chinese: 新型冠状病毒疫情 = new coronavirus epidemic

China Global Television Network (official, China): Youtube Channel; Battle against novel Coronavirus (news update).

DXY (DXY.cn), the world’s largest online professional community of physicians, medical institutions, healthcare providers, and life science researchers. Established in 2000, over 4 million registered members in China and other countries in 2020: Coronavirus dedicated website updated stats, news and maps.

European Union

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control: COVID-19 Pandemic

France

Mainly, check: Prime Minister office and the data revised over time of Santé publique France and its observatory GEODES

Ministère de la Santé et des Solidarités: Coronavirus COVID-19 et Coronavirus : informations aux professionnels de santé

Santé publique France: Infection à coronavirus and notably, for updates, Infection au nouveau Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), COVID-19, France et Monde.

Indicators and Maps: Geodes – COVID 19

Mission Coordination Risque Epidémiologique et Biologique (COREB): COVID-19

Germany

scenario building, scenario, strategic foresight, online course, risk management, future
Check our new online course on scenario-building for Geopolitical Risks and Crisis Anticipation

Bundesministerium für Gesundheit: Covid-19 Aktuelle Informationen zum Coronavirus

RKI website : Official updates of confirmed cases – Current figures 

Italy

Ministero della Salute – Nuovo coronavirus (New Coronavirus) – Press releases, and news-type updates. Now includes daily update count.

Epidemiology for public health – Istituto Superiore di Sanità: Coronavirus includes Integrated surveillance data

Iran

It is difficult to find sources of information on a par with Asia. The number of confirmed cases compared with the number of death considering the still very approximative case-fatality rate let us assume that Iran has not yet set up the capability to follow in detail the outbreak.

In the meantime, we may use:

Ministère de la SantéCoronavirus Page (the website may be quite long to load)

FARS NEWS (semi-official press agency): notably Medicine and Society

Japan

Ministry of Health, Labour and Warfare: About Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) with daily updates of cases.

National Institute of Infectious Diseases: COVID updates (notably on the situation on the Princess Diamond).

Singapore

 A Singapore Government Agency Website: COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019) – among others, includes updates and follow-up of each case.

South Korea

South Korea CDC Coronavirus Infection-19 – among others, includes twice daily updates and follow up of each case.

In Korean: 코로나바이러스감염증-19(COVID-19) = Coronavirus Infection-19 (COVID-19).

Spain

Spanish Health Ministry – Coronavirus disease, COVID-19 – For daily updates: Current situation

UK

Gov.uk – Coronavirus (COVID-19): latest information and advice – Includes updates on the situation in the UK.

NHS: Coronavirus (COVID-19)

U.S.

U.S. CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention): 2019 Novel Coronavirus. Updates on cases.

Scientific contributions about the COVID-19 (ex 2019-nCoV) pandemic

In-depth understanding of the new Coronavirus as it develops

The Lancet: COVID-19 (ex 2019-nCoV) Resource Centre.

Elsevier: Novel Coronavirus Information Center.

Nature: News update on the coronavirus.

The New England Journal of Medicine: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19)

Eurosurveillance.org

Oxford COVID-19 Evidence Service

Imperial College London: MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; Covid-19 reports.

BioRxiv: biological scientific papers waiting for peer-reviews – Coronavirus

MedRxiv: scientific and medical papers waiting for peer-reviews – Coronavirus

Institut Pasteur: Fiche Coronavirus de Wuhan (FR).

Tracking various Issues

Reinfections

COVID-19 reinfection tracker – BNO News (started August 2020)

Genomic epidemiology

GISAID

Nextstrain (also accessible from GISAID) and Nextstrain SARS-CoV-2 resources

Other sources

Understanding epidemic with a game: Plague Inc. and Plague Inc.: evolved – Wikipedia article.

Explaining the coronavirus (Youtube): Medical Lectures (MedCram.com)


Credit featured image: Gerd Altmann from Pixabay, Public Domain.


Published by Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia. She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.

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