(Art design – featured image: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) The tension between the U.S. and China, marked by constant ups and downs between the two giants, has become a permanent feature of the 21st-century international order. It impacts us all. It must be mainstreamed into our analyses, into the way we anticipate and foresee the future. What …
Category Archives: China
Trump geopolitics (3) – Towards the US-China war in Latin America and the Caribbean ?
(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli – Photo: The USS Gerald R. Ford US DVIDS) Thunder in the Caribbean Since 17 August 2025, the US Southern Command has dramatically scaled up its presence and activity in the Caribbean. For example, the Command has deployed 4,000 Marines against narco-terrorist cartels. There is also a massive naval …
AI at War (4): The US-China Drone and Robot Race
(U.S. Army’s MQ-1C Warrior UAV Photo Courtesy of U.S. Army – Public Domain) In December 2024, the Chinese government ordered one million kamikaze drones for the People’s liberation Army (Dylan Malyasov, “China places massive order for kamikaze drones”, The Defence Blog, 22 December 2024). During the same period, OpenAI, the U.S. giant of generative AI …
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DeepSeek vs Stargate – China’s Offensive on U.S. AI Dominance?
Is China launching a strategic offensive against the dominance of the U.S. artificial intelligence (AI) and tech sector? And if this is the case, what is the meaning of this Chinese offensive? The question of a Chinese offensive on the U.S. tech and AI sector has been increasingly relevant over the last months (e.g. Foresight …
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AI at War (2) – Preparing for the US-China War?
(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Darkening clouds (of drones) On 28 August 2023, on the Island of Guam, Kathleen Hicks, Deputy Secretary of Defense, gave a speech at a military and media crowd about the need for the U.S. to mass produce drones in order to outsize the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (Deputy Secretary …
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The Future of Uranium Demand – China’s Surge
(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) The world is poised to make the effort to treble its nuclear energy capacity by 2050. Even though uranium reserves are meant to be abundant and widespread worldwide, the necessity of producing uranium from mines, with long timelines from exploration to extraction and milling, added to the fate of …
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Which Country has the most Influence in the World?
(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Editor’s note — June 2026: This analysis was originally published in January 2024. Since then, the US attacked Iran twice. First, during the twelve-days war, it succoured its ally Israel, which had launched the war against Iran on 13 June.1Kevin Huggard and Mallika Yadwad, “The road to the Israel-Iran war – …
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From the War in Gaza to the Great U.S.-China War (2)?
(Art direction: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli – design with DALL-E 2) Given the speed and political density of the historic sequence opened by the war in Gaza, the second article in this new RTAS series only covers the period from 27 October to 20 November 2023. In the first part of this series, we saw how the …
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The war in Gaza and China’s pivot to the Middle East
(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Given the speed and political density of the historic sequence opened by the Gaza war, the first article in this new RTAS series covers only the period from 7 to 27 October 2023. Introduction: A new war in a new Middle East On 27 October 2023, Israel’s military launched …
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China, Serbia, AI, and the Pincer Movement on Europe
(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) On 10 April 2022, six Chinese military heavy duty transport aircraft landed at Belgrade airport in Serbia. They were delivering the Chinese FK 3 export version of the HQ-22 surface-to-air weapons systems. This delivery deepens military ties between China and Serbia, following the delivery of 14 CH-92 combat drones in 2020 …
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