Strategic Foresight & Early Warning ･ Political & Geopolitical Risk · Scenarios
(Art direction and design incl. AI :Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Power for AI Power In both the United States and China, the exponential growth of the AI sector is putting immense pressure on the energy systems of both major powers. This demand for electricity affects the entire AI production and usage chain. The increase in usage by …
Continue reading “Chronicles of the Hyperwar – AI: AI, the New Energy Frontier (1)”
(Art direction:Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Image: The White House, Public Domain) The Golden Dome rising The Golden Dome, heavily promoted by the Trump administration, is a technostrategy/industrial strategy that is already mobilizing major players in the space and AI sectors, including SpaceX, Starlink, Palantir, and Anduril. In this new landscape shaping the relationship between industry and defense …
Continue reading “SIGNAL – The Golden Dome, a New Technological Frontier”
(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-CarliImage: USS Abraham Lincoln, Public Domain) Iran crisis While the mullahs’ regime is carrying out appallingly violent repression against its own population, American political and military authorities are pre-positioning a maritime, air, and land military force of historic proportions in the Persian Gulf. Thus, the confrontation between the American military and Iran …
Continue reading “Signal – Mini-Chronicles (11): Iran, Trump, and China”
Starlink and the Iran shutdown I. Starlink vs. Russia, Iran II. The Iranian Strategic Rupture III. On the Future of Starlink and Hyperwarfare Why is this important for French and European companies?
(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli – Photo: The USS Gerald R. Ford US DVIDS) Thunder in the Caribbean Since 17 August 2025, the US Southern Command has dramatically scaled up its presence and activity in the Caribbean. For example, the Command has deployed 4,000 Marines against narco-terrorist cartels. There is also a massive naval …
(Art direction and design; illustration created with AI: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Aramco, the Saudi state-owned giant oil company has developed “Metabrain”, an extremely powerful Large Language Model (LLM), with 250 billion parameters, and a trillion parameters version planned for launch by the end of 2025. Metabrain is trained with the oil and geological data that the …
Continue reading “Petrodollars for AI – Is AI the Future of the Oil and Gas Industry ? “
(Art direction and design; illustration created with AI: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Given the extreme density of the strategic situations involved, the main focus of this article is the technological dimension of the “12 days war” between Israel and Iran, and the strategic meaning of those technological advances. A new way of war in the Middle East …
Continue reading “AI at War (5) – Israel, Iran and the New (AI) Way of War”
In April 2025, the Trump administration raised custom tariffs on most Chinese goods up to 145%. The Chinese reaction was to raise its own tariffs up to 125% (Jennifer Clark, “What are tariffs and why is Trump using them?”, BBC, 23 April, 2025). In this context, one must keep in mind that, since December 1978 …
Continue reading “Trump Geopolitics (2) – The US vs China Geoeconomic War”
(U.S. Army’s MQ-1C Warrior UAV Photo Courtesy of U.S. Army – Public Domain) In December 2024, the Chinese government ordered one million kamikaze drones for the People’s liberation Army (Dylan Malyasov, “China places massive order for kamikaze drones”, The Defence Blog, 22 December 2024). During the same period, OpenAI, the U.S. giant of generative AI …
Continue reading “AI at War (4): The US-China Drone and Robot Race”
(Donald Trump with Elon Musk, Tulsi Gabbard, RFK Jr, and Mike JohnsonCredit photo: from Office of Speaker Mike Johnson – Public Domain ) President-elect Donald Trump declared that Canada should become the “51st state” of the United States of America. He also repeats quite often that the U.S. should “buy Greenland” (Alexandra Sharp, “The 51st …
Continue reading “Trump Geopolitics – 1: Trump as the AI Power President”
