The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 22 September 2022

This is the 22 September 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or …

An Alternative Red Scenario for the war between Ukraine and Russia

(Art direction: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) The September 2022 Ukrainian counter-offensive against Russia is hailed as very successful. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky thanked the “true heroes” who allowed for a “very rapid liberation” of 8000 sq km by 14 September 22 “in the east, notably in the Kharkiv Oblast, and the south, notably in the Kherson oblast”, …

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 15 September 2022

This is the 15 September 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or …

War in Ukraine in the Warming Arctic – Anthropocene Wars 5

The war in Ukraine is morphing from a war between Russia and Ukraine into a war that involves NATO members supporting the war effort in Ukraine (Darlene Superville and Zeke Miller, “US Boosting Military Presence in Europe amid Russia Threat”, APNews, 29 June 2022). This situation generates strategic tensions between NATO and Russia that spill …

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 7 July 2022

This is the 7 July 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. Editorial: The crowdsourced signals continue to document an escalation towards war with China, which could likely then lead to World War …

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 30 June 2022

This is the 30 June 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. Editorial: Such a perfect escalation towards World War 3!

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 23 June 2022

This is the 23 June 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. Editorial: Business as usual, if I may say so. Interesting: something should be there and is not, the Russian reaction to …

The American National Interest

(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Do the United States still consider France to be their ally? We have to ponder this question because of the submarine contract signed between France and Australia, and broken in September 2021, to the benefit of the U.S.. If a country takes 35 billion euros from you, possibly revalued to 55 …

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 16 June 2022

This is the 16 June 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or …

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 9 June 2022

This is the 9 June 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or …

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