Strategic foresight and early warning are grounded in the idea of preventing surprise and more specifically strategic surprise. However, if we move away from the general idea of “strategic surprise” and try to be specific, i.e. if we try to apply the concept to a specific threat or issue we try to anticipate, then the …
Continue reading “Assessing the “Strategic” in Strategic Surprise”
This is the 22 April 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they …
Continue reading “The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 22 April 2021”
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Weak signals selected for the week: Unsurprisingly, an overwhelming number of signals are about Iran. For other weak (and strong) signals, read below our latest complimentary Weekly horizon scanning… Each section of the scan focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
10 May 2018″
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Weak signals selected for the week: According to the signals crowdsourced, the Islamic State is far from being vanquished, while Libya is likely to be back on the agenda. Don’t miss too the rising tension between China and the U.S., the battles being fought …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
3 May 2018″
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Is a highly dangerous new phase of the war in Syria – to remain conservative – starting? Which actor(s) could best benefit (at least on the short-term) from such tragic developments? Read below our latest complimentary Weekly horizon scanning… Each section of the scan …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
12 April 2018″
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Each section of the scan below focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics and geopolitics); economy; science; analysis, strategy and futures; technology and weapons; energy and environment. However, in a complex world, categories are merely a convenient way to present information, …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
18 January 2018″
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… —– Each section of the scan below focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics and geopolitics); economy; science; analysis, strategy and futures; technology and weapons; energy and environment. However, in a complex world, categories are merely a convenient way to present …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
14 December 2017″
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… —– Each section of the scan below focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics and geopolitics); economy; science; analysis, strategy and futures; technology and weapons; energy and environment. However, in a complex world, categories are merely a convenient way to present …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
19 October 2017″
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… As polarisation rises, not only internationally but also domestically within many countries, weak signals are not only “direct”, describing facts, but also, increasingly, “indirect”, i.e. perspectives on reality indicating more about the positioning of actors, the rising tension(s) and uncertainty, than about facts. The Weekly also …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
27 April 2017″
