You will find below public documents and products related to strategic foresight, warning, risk analysis and intelligence, published by countries, international organisations and private actors. Interesting documents are added progressively.
Latest, we added the video just published (28 April 2021) by the U.S. Office of the Director of National Intelligence to advertise their recently released (8 April) Global Trends 2040.
In the video, the Director of the NIC’s Strategic Futures Group, Maria Langan-Riekhof speaks briefly about the report: Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World, featuring five scenarios to 2050.
Note that usually the report is released around December besides the classified version for the President elect. Meanwhile, pre-release presentations used to take place around the world, as part of the strategy of influence of the U.S.. The pandemic situation plus tension around the elections probably disrupted the usual approach.
This is a premium article. Access for non-members is limited. To continue reading, become a member of The Red Team Analysis Society or register for an online course. If you are already a member or have registered for an online course, please login (don’t forget to refresh the page).
Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France).
An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia.
She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics.
Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.
View more posts
Join the Conversation
2 Comments
I found you via a Google search ect ..
I would like to ask as
I thought to investigate weather the following has been applied
“ a i neural net geopolitical modelling “ that was my Google search
But the results were all “ inverted “ in that , risk assessments of a.i. , neural nets ect
What I am considering is a simple and old idea that of using the latest technology to model world scenarios
Eg opec’s oil and other geopolitical stresses during the transition to green energy
Is this application something mundane ? and already being used to help steer a path for policy makers ect
Hello Alex,
In short, the answer I can give you is, that yes, I have heard of such endeavours. If you want a more informed and detailed answer, we would be delighted to carry out a commissioned study answering your question, however you should also know that probably the information available will only be partly accessible, because of proprietary knowledge, and because of classified one.
An interesting question would be which type of deep learning is best adapted to international relations and geopolitical modeling, and are those carrying out this modeling constituting proper teams to get good results.
Best
Dr Helene Lavoix
The Red Team Analysis Society uses cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. This includes cookies from third party social media websites if you visit a page which contains embedded content from social media. Such third party cookies may track your use of the Red Team Analysis Society website.
If you click on "Accept", you accept our policy, we'll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies on the Red Team Analysis Society website and this will close this notice. Accept AllGDPR and Cookie Policy
Privacy & Cookies Policy
Privacy Overview
This website uses cookies to improve your experience while you navigate through the website. Out of these, the cookies that are categorized as necessary are stored on your browser as they are essential for the working of basic functionalities of the website. We also use third-party cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use this website. These cookies will be stored in your browser only with your consent. You also have the option to opt-out of these cookies. But opting out of some of these cookies may affect your browsing experience.
Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly. This category only includes cookies that ensures basic functionalities and security features of the website. These cookies do not store any personal information.
Functional cookies help to perform certain functionalities like sharing the content of the website on social media platforms, collect feedbacks, and other third-party features.
Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors.
Analytical cookies are used to understand how visitors interact with the website. These cookies help provide information on metrics the number of visitors, bounce rate, traffic source, etc.
Advertisement cookies are used to provide visitors with relevant ads and marketing campaigns. These cookies track visitors across websites and collect information to provide customized ads.
I found you via a Google search ect ..
I would like to ask as
I thought to investigate weather the following has been applied
“ a i neural net geopolitical modelling “ that was my Google search
But the results were all “ inverted “ in that , risk assessments of a.i. , neural nets ect
What I am considering is a simple and old idea that of using the latest technology to model world scenarios
Eg opec’s oil and other geopolitical stresses during the transition to green energy
Is this application something mundane ? and already being used to help steer a path for policy makers ect
Hello Alex,
In short, the answer I can give you is, that yes, I have heard of such endeavours. If you want a more informed and detailed answer, we would be delighted to carry out a commissioned study answering your question, however you should also know that probably the information available will only be partly accessible, because of proprietary knowledge, and because of classified one.
An interesting question would be which type of deep learning is best adapted to international relations and geopolitical modeling, and are those carrying out this modeling constituting proper teams to get good results.
Best
Dr Helene Lavoix