On 5th November 2012, Anonymous plans to re-enact the final scene of the film V for Vendetta in London. The protest could also spread to other European capitals and to North America (Steve Huff on Betabeat, 02/10/2012). Two operations, the action mode of Anonymous, #OpVendetta and #OpJubilee, “partner” to mobilize and organise this protest action.

Those operations, the mobilization efforts made, as well as the messages, show an interesting evolution of Anonymous in terms of political dynamics. Anonymous has registered important success over the past year such as participation in the winning action against SOPA, or its fight against paedophilia on the web (Paganini, Security Affairs, 11/07/2012). It has continued hacktivism, while supporting Occupy and other protests movements in Europe. Yet, the amorphous nature of Anonymous as an idea, its classical means of action on the web, could let observers wonder if all this is sufficient to make of them a political force in the real world, one that has the power to bring about change, thus one that has might (etymology: to be able).

Now, to mobilize for a political real world protest, Anonymous uses all the means at its disposal and experience acquired on the Web, as well as in the real world, for example when it spurred protests against Scientology with OpChanology, in a way that seems to be powerful politically.

First, the content of the demand, the why mobilization is needed and change must be achieved is clear. Reasons complement each other for the two operations, with slight differences.

#OpVendetta starts first its video by explaining what Anonymous is, showing, compared with usual Anonymous videos, an effort at explaining what is the movement to a larger public. There, they notably struggle against a negative image that could have developed linked to the fact they are usually labelled as hackers and threats.

Its protest intends to show displeasure at the situation in the UK and the policy of the government, to achieve the end of the denounced situation: “Join 1000’s of like-minded freedom fighters under the banner of Anonymous UK and the Novemberist Resistance Movement as we show our weak and corrupt government that we are not pleased. Our Army, Police, Doctors / Nurses, Teachers and Workers have been let down; sold out to the bankers. You have to work longer hours, for many more years and your pensions have been squandered! Now rise up like Lions from your slumber and join with us. This day will go down in history across the world as V-day.” (Youtube text)

In the case of #OpJubilee, the aim is:

“Cancel All Debt
Stop War
Redistribute the Land
Eliminate Poverty.” (#OpJubilee website)

Both, thus, build upon the financial and economic crisis, and especially on the policies of austerity, including the strong reduction of public spending and thus services to reduce public debt. They are more likely to be heard because the austerity and downsizing of the state touch people in their everyday lives (Harper, 2001). Those are very concrete real issues for most citizens, for the 99% to use the label created by Occupy. #OpJubilee goes a bit further, as it suggests clear solutions, which can be easily adopted and fought for, while #OpVendetta “only” wants to force the government to change its policies, the how being left to the elected MPs.

Second, #OpJubilee has been using hacking, besides defacing of websites, forums and portals, to advertise the forthcoming protest, send invitations and recruit supporters, notably among the UK Metropolitan police forces, as reported by Mohit Kumar, The Hacker News, 24/10/2012 & 26/10/2012. In so doing, they try to enlist support or at least a neutral attitude from part of the monopoly of violence of the state.

“A message to the police and armed forces”.

Message body: “Hello members of our UK police and armed forces” … “stand with us, not against us. Under your uniform you are one of us and we are you. United we stand and can make this world a better place for all of us. We are not against you, only against the evil system that you defend, and we appeal to your consciences to stop protecting the traitors and banksters, and protect us from them instead… Brothers in arms, join us and end wars and poverty. United we stand.” (Kumar, 24/10/2012)

Finally, the form of the protest itself, reconstituting the final scene of the cult film V for Vendetta, is both ambitious and grandiose. It is thus likely to inspire people in a world that is most of the time bleak, offering neither hope nor ideals. It revives the inspirational and charismatic part of political leadership, re-imagined for the 21st century.

Will the operations be successful? It is difficult to estimate, all the more so with a meme such as Anonymous. The traffic figures found on the related Facebook pages (FB OpVendetta 4696 indicating intention to go), Youtube (4898 views for #OpVendetta and 11304 for #OpJubilee), or in terms of Twitter followers (153 for @OpJubilee and 480 for @opVendetta2012, accounts created specifically for the event) would tend to indicate a relatively small participation. However, most Anonymous related accounts seem to be supporting the event, especially through #OpVendetta, and the overall trends on twitter are rising, with a drop related to the focus on Sandy, as shown on the graphic below realised thanks to Viral Analytics from PeopleBrowsr. As there are still, to date, six days to go, in those volatile times, everything is possible.

Whatever happens on the 5th of November, Anonymous will have learned from the mobilization and moved towards integrating further virtual and real life for political action.

—-

T. N. Harper, The End of Empire and the Making of Malaya, Cambridge University Press, Apr 9, 2001.

Published by Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia. She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.

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