Editorial – Russia, the Arctic and … Syrian uncertainties – If you were looking for a new tense area to monitor, here it is: the Arctic. We had known it was coming for a few years, but now it is definitely on the agenda, besides, mainly, the Middle East, North East Asia and a struggle for spheres of influence at the Eastern margin of Europe a.k.a. the Western margin of the Russian world. The Arctic positioning is also one more indication of Russia’s reasserted place as a full global player, notably present wherever uncertainties and changes are at work, as also underlined in the case of East Asia by the interesting Stratfor video on Russia’s East Asian Pivot, posted by @Kostian_V.
As far as uncertainties are concerned, the Syrian theater of war shows once more the difficulty of understanding what is happening in periods of change and turmoil, which are so well exemplified by war, as underlined by those two articles, Syria: FSA, Islamic Front face off (posted by @joshua_landis) and Syria Spotlight: The Real Story Behind US Cut-Off of Non-Lethal Aid to Insurgents? – EA WorldView, as well as by the Syrian National Coalition declarations. The related challenges in terms of decisions and policy-making only add to the general complexity… and fuel changes.
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Published by Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)
Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France).
An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia.
She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics.
Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.
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