The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No119, 26 September 2013

Horizon Scanning for National Security – Batman’s Gotham City with an international twist? The world is being profoundly reshaped: China’s global land grab, the battle for the Arctic and the importance of extreme environments for resources, a fast changing unsettled Middle-East, the importance of Central Asia, the return of a pre-World War I type of capitalist world, and a worrying question regarding Europe, exemplified by Greece. What if, rather than demonstrations leading to revolutions, we were facing a slow collapse of the state? Against this backdrop, the rosy utopian images of the future still produced by some (see last article at the bottom of the front page) appear to be very out-dated, the future as it was seen in the 1970s and 1980s, much less adapted to current dynamics than Batman’s Gotham City to which an international twist would need to be added. Why such differing visions, why such discrepancies? The answer lies partly in those models we use to understand the world and the article “hot models, hard questions” is definitely a must read.

Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li

horizon scanning, national security, Gotham city, Batman, models

Published by Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Dr Helene Lavoix, PhD Lond (International Relations), is the President/CEO of The Red Team Analysis Society. She is specialised in strategic foresight and warning for international relations, national and international security issues. Her current focus is on the war in Ukraine, international order and the rise of China, the overstepping of planetary boundaries and international relations, the methodology of SF&W, radicalisation as well as new tech and security.

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