Impact on Issues

➚➚ Gulf Crisis – Russia Conundrum – ➚➚ Syria & Iraq

The aftermath of the Kurdish referendum in Iraq continues to send shock waves, as the Kurds persist in wanting their independence while Iraq and their neighbours, home to Kurdish communities refuse this possibility.

Besides impacting the Gulf crisis and obviously the war in Iraq and Syria, Russia is also faced with a severe conundrum. Russia has interests in keeping influence and good relationships with all actors. However a factor that is hardly considered but that may trump all others is the crucial need Russia has to uphold the norm of self-determination and thus to recognise the Kurdish referendum result.. because of Crimea, and because of its general stand on the international scene.

The support may be lukewarm and discrete, but it is likely to take place, most probably behind the scenes, and may take a host of various guises. It may include tempting to appease all actors and to delay implementation of independence. Highly skilled and extremely smart diplomacy will be needed.

Iran, Turkey Agree to Boost Military Ties After Referendum in Iraqi Kurdistan

Middle East Get short URL Turkey and Iran have agreed to boost military ties following the referendum in the Iraqi Kurdistan where more than 90 percent of voters supported the idea of independence from Iraq.

Published by Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Dr Helene Lavoix, PhD Lond (International Relations), is the President/CEO of The Red Team Analysis Society. She is specialised in strategic foresight and warning for national and international security issues. Her current focus is on the rise of China, the COVID-19 Pandemic, the methodology of SF&W, radicalisation as well as new tech and security.

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