Strategic Foresight or How Not to Be Surprised.

Listen to Dr Helene Lavoix’s interview by Julien Devaureix for Sismique, “the channel with over 4 million listeners.

“In today’s highly volatile and rapidly changing environment, it is imperative for our contemporary societies and for all players, whether private or public, to reduce the uncertainty associated with the future. The primary objective is to survive and progress in the best possible way. To achieve this, we need to identify and assess the changes that are already underway and that we will have to face in the future.”

Julien Devaureix, Introduction to the Podcast “Anticipate and Get Ready for the Future – Hélène Lavoix”, Sismique, 2 April 2024

Interview in French (check below on Youtube for an automatic translation in English)
Access the page of the interview on Sismique (transcript and notes).

Interview recorded on 12 mars 2024

What are we talking about?
0:00 Introduction
9:04 The importance of Strategic Foresight
17:36 Understanding World Dynamics
22:16 Weak signals and anticipation
40:54 Mechanisms to restrict power.
49:29 Towards a Mad Max life.
52:41 Tensions between democracies and authoritarianism.
55:22 Kant on democracy and universal law.
1:06:14 Democracy in question
1:12:53 The impact of violence on society
1:19:58 Anticipate to better protect yourself
1:23:13 The importance of individual foresight

The sequences of the interview of Dr Lavoix by Julien Devaureix, Sismique

Listen on Apple Podcasts

Published by Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia. She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.

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