2213 – 2218 EVT – Investing for Green Growth without Liquidity (2) (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start, which starts the second scenario, Panglossy. The new Everstatan government, dependent upon past thinking, decides that a return to economic efficiency through growth is the key to the crisis. Its first measure, to raise the minimum wage, fails to boost growth through consumption. The second, longer term, policy, which promotes green growth through infrastructure investment, starts with the preparation of the first high level conference of ISSIGE. Notably, funding through the emission of bonds, …

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2213 – 2218 EVT – Investing for Green Growth without Liquidity (I) (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start, which starts the second scenario, Panglossy. Dependent upon programmes created to face efficiently past challenges, prisoners of entrenched political groupings, the major parties campaign to come back to the order ante. Meanwhile, the polarisation and rise of a new opposition that took place during the election is temporarily frozen by the last hope thus created. The new Everstatan government, dependent upon past thinking, decides that a return to economic efficiency through growth is the …

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The Future of the Modern Nation-State and Governance – Bibliography

Bibliography related to the modern nation-state, state-building, nation and nationalism, and governance. Texts which are fundamental are in bold.

Anderson, Benedict R. O’G. (1991). Imagined communities: reflections on the origin and spread of nationalism (Revised and extended. ed.). London: Verso.

Anderson, Benedict, “Long-Distance Nationalism,” in The Spectre of Comparisons: Nationalism, Southeast Asia and the World, (London: Verso, 1998), pp. 58-74.

Ard/United States Agency for International Development (USAID), (2005b), Measuring Fragility: Indicators and Methods for Rating State Performance, document prepared by ARD Consortium for the Bureau for Democracy, Conflict, and Humanitarian Assistance/Office of Conflict Management and Mitigation (DCHA/CMM), June.

Bayart, J.F., (1996), La greffe de l’Etat, sous la direction de, (Paris : Karthala).

Breuilly, John “Approaches to Nationalism,” in Mapping the Nation, ed. by Gopal Balakrishnan, (London: Verso and New Left Review, 1996), pp. 146-174.

Breuilly, John, Nationalism and the State; (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 1982, [1993 2d ed.])

Brewer, J. (1989), The Sinews of Power, (London : Unwin Hyman).

Bull, H. and A.Watson, (1984) The Expansion of International Society, ed. (Oxford: Clarendon Press).

Bull, H., (1979) The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics, (London: MacMillan).

Buss, J. C., Colonel, United States Army, (2005), “The State Department Office of Reconstruction and Stabilization and its Interaction with the Department of Defense,” Center for Strategic Leadership, U.S. Army War College, Issue Paper, July, Volume 09-05.

Caplan, R. et B. Pouligny, (2005), « Histoire et contradictions du state building, »  Critique Internationale, N° 28, juillet-septembre.

Davidheiser, E.B., (1992), “Strong states, weak states: the role of state in revolution,” Comparative Politics, July, pp. 463-475.

Ertman, Thomas. Birth of the Leviathan: Building States and Regimes in Medieval and Early Modern Europe. Cambridge, UK ; New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997.

Gellner, Ernest and Smith, Anthony D, “The nation: real or imagined?” in Nations and Nationalism, 2 (3) 1996, pp. 357-370

Gellner, Ernest, Nationalism, (London: Phoenix, 1997, [1998])

Gellner, Ernest, Nations and Nationalism Oxford: Blackwell, 1983)

Giddens, Anthony, The Consequences of Modernity; Cambridge: Polity Press, 1990.

Gong, G. W., (1984) The Standard of ‘Civilization’ in International Society; Oxford: Clarendon Press.

Harper, T. N. (1999), The End of Empire and the Making of Malaya, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).

Hobsbawm, Eric J., Nations and Nationalism since 1780: Programme, Myth and Reality, 2d ed. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1992);

Hobsbawm, Eric, & Ranger, Terence, The Invention of Tradition, 2d ed. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996).

Lavoix, Helene, “Identifier L’État Fragile Avant L’Heure: Le Rôle Des Indicateurs De Prévision“, Edited volume, Etats et Sociétés fragiles (Agence Française de Développement and French Ministère des Affaires Etrangères) – January 2007

Lavoix, Helene, ‘Nationalism’ and ‘genocide’: the construction of nation-ness, authority, and opposition – the case of Cambodia (1861-1979) – PhD Thesis – School of Oriental and African Studies (University of London), 2005. Access and download through the British Library Ethos.

Lavoix, Helene, Indicateurs et méthodologies de prévision des crises et conflits: Evaluation, (Paris : AFD, December 2005).

Lieberman, Victor, (1993), “Local Integration and Eurasian Analogies: Structuring Southeast Asian History, c.1350-c.1830;” Modern Asian Studies 27, 3, pp.475-572.

Lieberman, V., (2003), Strange Parallels, Southeast Asia in Global Context, c.800-1830, Vol.1 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Mann, M., The sources of social power. 1, A history of power from the beginning to A.D. 1760, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1986).

Migdal, John S., Strong societies and weak states : state-society relations and state capabilities in the Third World (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1988).

Moore, B., Injustice: Social bases of Obedience and Revolt, (London: Macmillan, 1978)

Nettl, J.P., “The state as a conceptual variable,” World Politics, vol. XX, N° 4, July 1968, pp. 559-592.

Prime Minister’s Strategy Unit (PMSU), Investing in Prevention: an International Strategy to Manage Risks of Instability and Improve Crisis Response – a Report to The Government, (February 2005).

Rubin, B. R., “Afghanistan: la souveraineté comme condition de sécurité,” Critique Internationale, N° 28, juillet-septembre 2005, pp.169-183.

Sambanis, Nicholas, “Using Case Studies to Expand the Theory of Civil War,” (World Bank, CPR Working Papers, Social Development Department Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Development Network, Paper No. 5, May 2003).

Scarrow, Susan E. “The nineteenth-century origins of Modern Political Parties: The Unwanted Emergence of Party Based Politics,” in Richard S. Katz, William Crotty (eds), Handbook of Party Politics, London, Sage, 2006.

Sidel, John. T., Capital, coercion, and crime: bossism in the Philippines (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1999).

Smith, Anthony D., Nationalism and Modernism: a critical survey of recent theories of nations and nationalism, (London: Routledge, 1998)

Smith, Anthony D., Nations and Nationalism in a Global Era, (Cambridge: Polity Press, 1995),

Smith, Anthony D., The Ethnic Origin of Nations, (Oxford: Blackwell, 1986 [1999])

Smith, Anthony D., The Nation in History: Historiographical Debates about Ethnicity and Nationalism, (Cambridge UK: Polity Press, 2000).

Smith, Anthony D., Theories of Nationalism, (London: Duckworth, 1971)

Tambiah, Stanley, World Conqueror and World Renouncer: a Study of Buddhism and Polity in Thailand against a Historical Background (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1976).

Taylor, Robert, The State in Burma, (London: Christopher Hurst, 1987) – notably for the separation between public and private domain, see p.66.

Tilly, Charles, Coercion, capital, and European states, AD 990-1990, (Oxford: Blackwell, 1990).

United States Agency for International Development (USAID), Fragile States Strategy, January 2005.

Waltz, Kenneth, Man, the state, and war: a theoretical analysis, New-York: Columbia University Press, 1959.

Weber, Max, Le savant et le politique, (Paris : 10/18, 1963) originally «Wissenschaft als Beruf » & « Politik als Beruf » 1919.

Zellman, Ariel, Review: Birth of the Leviathan by Thomas Ertman, 2008.

——

Featured image: Detail of the frontispiece of the book Leviathan by Thomas Hobbes via Wikimedia Commons.

A Beautiful Timeline Visualisation: TimelineJS by VéritéCo

Last week, as I was looking for good websites and twitter users to follow the students’ movement in Quebec, its support by and links to the other worldwide opposition movements, and to try to assess how it could evolve, I found this really useful, informative and beautiful website displaying a timeline of the events done by Xavier K. Richard, @xkr. Today, I found that this timeline, or rather the incredible tool to make such a timeline, TimelineJS, created by VéritéCo, is a free web-based application. I could not resist the temptation to try it, continuing on the series of timelines created for “the Tragic Events that strike Everstate.” It is truly very easy to use (just use the Google spreadsheet …

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2213 – 2218 EVT – Increasing wages: not enough, too late? (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start, which starts the second scenario, Panglossy. Dependent upon programmes created to face efficiently past challenges, prisoners of entrenched political groupings, the major parties campaign to come back to the order ante. Meanwhile, the polarisation and rise of a new opposition that took place during the election is temporarily frozen by the last hope thus created. The new Everstatan government decides that a return to economic efficiency through growth is the key to the crisis. …

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The Deep-Sea Resources Sigils

The aim of the Deep-Sea Resources Sigils is to be a daily scan focusing on the security and geopolitics of the deep sea.

Why deep-sea resources must be monitored and what is at stake can be found in the corresponding Sigils Brief.

We are currently investigating new AI ways to deliver an even better Deep Sea Resources Sigils. The original complimentary version ran from May 2012 to April 2023.

The Sigils are a series of scans exploring the horizon for weak signals related to various issues relevant to the security of societies, polities, nations and citizens.

Featured image: Three-dimensional model of the sea floor terrain of the UnderwaterSearchAreas on the 26. September 2014 by Australian Government Australian Transport Safety Bureau [CC BY 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

2212-2213 EVT – Restoring Growth (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start. Dependent upon programmes created to face efficiently past challenges, prisoners of entrenched political groupings, comforted in their vision by the BRICS’ success and renewed optimism, the major parties campaign to come back to the order ante. As a result, habits and the existing system, once the new national representatives are elected and the new government starts ruling, are even more entrenched, almost ossified. Meanwhile, the polarisation and rise of a new opposition that took …

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The Power of Maps

Maps are both necessary tools for analysis and crucial delivery visuals for foresight and warning products. They constitute a very powerful type of delivery form, as they change both the world and the mind. The pivotal importance of maps and of the process of mapping has notably been shown, in the case of the birth of nations and of nationalism, by two remarkable books: Imagined Communities by Benedict Anderson and Siam Mapped: A History of the Geo-Body of a Nation by Winichakul Thongchai. Building upon the findings of those master-works, as well as on my own (PhD) research, this post explains the power of maps and then outlines contemporary evolutions, examples and possibilities. Why are maps special instruments of power? …

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Water Security Maps

You will find below a selection of maps related to global water security, which are useful for both analysis and delivery of products.Maps are both necessary tools for analysis and crucial delivery visuals for our foresight and warning products. They constitute a category of delivery form, which can, furthermore, be combined with other categories to suit at best our needs.The maps under copyrights that do not allow fair free use (C.C.) are filed at the bottom of the post.National Intelligence Council (US), ODNI – 2012: Global Water Security MapMap attached to the 2012 Global Water Security, an Intelligence Community AssessmentAquastat (FAO) mapsAQUASTAT is FAO’s global information system on water and agriculture, developed by the Land and Water Division. The maps section …

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2212 EVT – New Government, New Opposition, Last Hope (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start. Dependent upon programmes created to face efficiently past challenges, prisoners of entrenched political groupings, comforted in their vision by the BRICS’ success and renewed optimism, the major parties campaign to come back to the order ante. As a result, habits and the existing system, once the new national representatives are elected and the new government starts ruling, are even more entrenched, almost ossified. (The reader can click on each picture to see a larger …

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