Tech news: problems with subscriptions’ emails – Working on it

Tech news: problems with subscriptions’ emails – Working on it

Due to new anti-spam policies by our host, it has been impossible to send any email to our subscribers. I am working on the problem, and in the meantime I present everyone all my apologies. I hope we shall be able to solve the problem quickly and resume normal email activity sent to subscribers for new post.

However, in the meantime, I shall add to the usual way to subscribe another possibility, to subscribe through WordPress (option2), as this type of subscription is not affected by the host policies.

The way to subscribe is the same, just enter your email address and press subscribe.

As soon as the problem will have been solved I shall post an updated status, and send an email to all subscribers.

Thanks for your understanding!

Dr Helene Lavoix

Can the Past Predict the Future? – Public Panel Event – Sept 13 2012 – Decorah, Iowa, U.S.

If ever you happen to be close to Decorah, Iowa, on September 13, 2012, join us for the panel event for a lively discussion (RT and share please).

2213 – 2218 EVT – Learning from Water Privatization? (Panglossy)

This post, as many others in the Chronicles of Everstate, can be read both as part of the scenarios on the future of the nation-state, as explained below, or as part of the section on Global Water Security. This shows how all issues are intertwined, and that the multiple existing feedbacks should not be ignored. Previously: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start, which begins the second scenario, Panglossy. The new Everstatan government, dependent upon past thinking, decides that a return to economic efficiency …

The remaining part of this article is for our members and those who purchased special access plans. Make sure you get real analysis and not opinion, or, worse, fake news. Log in and access this article.

2213 – 2218 EVT – Unforeseen Outrage: Privatising the Commons (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start, which begins the second scenario, Panglossy. The new Everstatan government, dependent upon past thinking, decides that a return to economic efficiency through growth is the key to the crisis. The first years, however, fail to bring back growth; the power of the lenders’ nexus and induced appropriation of public power continue unabated as the regulation of the international financial system does not progress. The initial efforts to fund growth through infrastructure investments show minimal …

The remaining part of this article is for our members and those who purchased special access plans. Make sure you get real analysis and not opinion, or, worse, fake news. Log in and access this article.

2213 – 2218 EVT – Novstate-Air: Fighting Air Pollution for Profit (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start, which begins the second scenario, Panglossy. The new Everstatan government, dependent upon past thinking, decides that a return to economic efficiency through growth is the key to the crisis. Its first measure, to raise the minimum wage, fails to boost growth through consumption. As the new international meeting group for the resilience of the financial system IRESFIS does not show any progress, the ISSIGE, the international fund to promote green growth through infrastructure investment …

The remaining part of this article is for our members and those who purchased special access plans. Make sure you get real analysis and not opinion, or, worse, fake news. Log in and access this article.

2213 – 2218 EVT – Green Growth in Action (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start, which begins the second scenario, Panglossy. The new Everstatan government, dependent upon past thinking, decides that a return to economic efficiency through growth is the key to the crisis. Its first measure, to raise the minimum wage, fails to boost growth through consumption. The first high level conference of the ISSIGE, the international fund to promote green growth through infrastructure investment, is hailed as a success. However, as the new international meeting group for …

The remaining part of this article is for our members and those who purchased special access plans. Make sure you get real analysis and not opinion, or, worse, fake news. Log in and access this article.

Scheduling error – last email on first post scenario 3

Scheduling error – last email on first post scenario 3

Dear Readers,

Apologies for the previous email  on the publication of the first post of scenario 3, sent by mistake due to a scheduling error. As one problem never arrives alone, the email function to subscribers is off too, most probably as a result from the last wordpress.org update.

And I take this opportunity to thank you for your readership and to welcome all the new subscribers.

With my very best wishes,

Dr Helene Lavoix

2213 – 2218 EVT – Investing for Green Growth without Liquidity (2) (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start, which starts the second scenario, Panglossy. The new Everstatan government, dependent upon past thinking, decides that a return to economic efficiency through growth is the key to the crisis. Its first measure, to raise the minimum wage, fails to boost growth through consumption. The second, longer term, policy, which promotes green growth through infrastructure investment, starts with the preparation of the first high level conference of ISSIGE. Notably, funding through the emission of bonds, …

The remaining part of this article is for our members and those who purchased special access plans. Make sure you get real analysis and not opinion, or, worse, fake news. Log in and access this article.

2213 – 2218 EVT – Investing for Green Growth without Liquidity (I) (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start, which starts the second scenario, Panglossy. Dependent upon programmes created to face efficiently past challenges, prisoners of entrenched political groupings, the major parties campaign to come back to the order ante. Meanwhile, the polarisation and rise of a new opposition that took place during the election is temporarily frozen by the last hope thus created. The new Everstatan government, dependent upon past thinking, decides that a return to economic efficiency through growth is the …

The remaining part of this article is for our members and those who purchased special access plans. Make sure you get real analysis and not opinion, or, worse, fake news. Log in and access this article.

The Future of the Modern Nation-State and Governance – Bibliography

Bibliography related to the modern nation-state, state-building, nation and nationalism, and governance. Texts which are fundamental are in bold.

Anderson, Benedict R. O’G. (1991). Imagined communities: reflections on the origin and spread of nationalism (Revised and extended. ed.). London: Verso.

Anderson, Benedict, “Long-Distance Nationalism,” in The Spectre of Comparisons: Nationalism, Southeast Asia and the World, (London: Verso, 1998), pp. 58-74.

Ard/United States Agency for International Development (USAID), (2005b), Measuring Fragility: Indicators and Methods for Rating State Performance, document prepared by ARD Consortium for the Bureau for Democracy, Conflict, and Humanitarian Assistance/Office of Conflict Management and Mitigation (DCHA/CMM), June.

Bayart, J.F., (1996), La greffe de l’Etat, sous la direction de, (Paris : Karthala).

Breuilly, John “Approaches to Nationalism,” in Mapping the Nation, ed. by Gopal Balakrishnan, (London: Verso and New Left Review, 1996), pp. 146-174.

Breuilly, John, Nationalism and the State; (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 1982, [1993 2d ed.])

Brewer, J. (1989), The Sinews of Power, (London : Unwin Hyman).

Bull, H. and A.Watson, (1984) The Expansion of International Society, ed. (Oxford: Clarendon Press).

Bull, H., (1979) The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics, (London: MacMillan).

Buss, J. C., Colonel, United States Army, (2005), “The State Department Office of Reconstruction and Stabilization and its Interaction with the Department of Defense,” Center for Strategic Leadership, U.S. Army War College, Issue Paper, July, Volume 09-05.

Caplan, R. et B. Pouligny, (2005), « Histoire et contradictions du state building, »  Critique Internationale, N° 28, juillet-septembre.

Davidheiser, E.B., (1992), “Strong states, weak states: the role of state in revolution,” Comparative Politics, July, pp. 463-475.

Ertman, Thomas. Birth of the Leviathan: Building States and Regimes in Medieval and Early Modern Europe. Cambridge, UK ; New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997.

Gellner, Ernest and Smith, Anthony D, “The nation: real or imagined?” in Nations and Nationalism, 2 (3) 1996, pp. 357-370

Gellner, Ernest, Nationalism, (London: Phoenix, 1997, [1998])

Gellner, Ernest, Nations and Nationalism Oxford: Blackwell, 1983)

Giddens, Anthony, The Consequences of Modernity; Cambridge: Polity Press, 1990.

Gong, G. W., (1984) The Standard of ‘Civilization’ in International Society; Oxford: Clarendon Press.

Harper, T. N. (1999), The End of Empire and the Making of Malaya, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).

Hobsbawm, Eric J., Nations and Nationalism since 1780: Programme, Myth and Reality, 2d ed. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1992);

Hobsbawm, Eric, & Ranger, Terence, The Invention of Tradition, 2d ed. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996).

Lavoix, Helene, “Identifier L’État Fragile Avant L’Heure: Le Rôle Des Indicateurs De Prévision“, Edited volume, Etats et Sociétés fragiles (Agence Française de Développement and French Ministère des Affaires Etrangères) – January 2007

Lavoix, Helene, ‘Nationalism’ and ‘genocide’: the construction of nation-ness, authority, and opposition – the case of Cambodia (1861-1979) – PhD Thesis – School of Oriental and African Studies (University of London), 2005. Access and download through the British Library Ethos.

Lavoix, Helene, Indicateurs et méthodologies de prévision des crises et conflits: Evaluation, (Paris : AFD, December 2005).

Lieberman, Victor, (1993), “Local Integration and Eurasian Analogies: Structuring Southeast Asian History, c.1350-c.1830;” Modern Asian Studies 27, 3, pp.475-572.

Lieberman, V., (2003), Strange Parallels, Southeast Asia in Global Context, c.800-1830, Vol.1 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Mann, M., The sources of social power. 1, A history of power from the beginning to A.D. 1760, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1986).

Migdal, John S., Strong societies and weak states : state-society relations and state capabilities in the Third World (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1988).

Moore, B., Injustice: Social bases of Obedience and Revolt, (London: Macmillan, 1978)

Nettl, J.P., “The state as a conceptual variable,” World Politics, vol. XX, N° 4, July 1968, pp. 559-592.

Prime Minister’s Strategy Unit (PMSU), Investing in Prevention: an International Strategy to Manage Risks of Instability and Improve Crisis Response – a Report to The Government, (February 2005).

Rubin, B. R., “Afghanistan: la souveraineté comme condition de sécurité,” Critique Internationale, N° 28, juillet-septembre 2005, pp.169-183.

Sambanis, Nicholas, “Using Case Studies to Expand the Theory of Civil War,” (World Bank, CPR Working Papers, Social Development Department Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Development Network, Paper No. 5, May 2003).

Scarrow, Susan E. “The nineteenth-century origins of Modern Political Parties: The Unwanted Emergence of Party Based Politics,” in Richard S. Katz, William Crotty (eds), Handbook of Party Politics, London, Sage, 2006.

Sidel, John. T., Capital, coercion, and crime: bossism in the Philippines (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1999).

Smith, Anthony D., Nationalism and Modernism: a critical survey of recent theories of nations and nationalism, (London: Routledge, 1998)

Smith, Anthony D., Nations and Nationalism in a Global Era, (Cambridge: Polity Press, 1995),

Smith, Anthony D., The Ethnic Origin of Nations, (Oxford: Blackwell, 1986 [1999])

Smith, Anthony D., The Nation in History: Historiographical Debates about Ethnicity and Nationalism, (Cambridge UK: Polity Press, 2000).

Smith, Anthony D., Theories of Nationalism, (London: Duckworth, 1971)

Tambiah, Stanley, World Conqueror and World Renouncer: a Study of Buddhism and Polity in Thailand against a Historical Background (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1976).

Taylor, Robert, The State in Burma, (London: Christopher Hurst, 1987) – notably for the separation between public and private domain, see p.66.

Tilly, Charles, Coercion, capital, and European states, AD 990-1990, (Oxford: Blackwell, 1990).

United States Agency for International Development (USAID), Fragile States Strategy, January 2005.

Waltz, Kenneth, Man, the state, and war: a theoretical analysis, New-York: Columbia University Press, 1959.

Weber, Max, Le savant et le politique, (Paris : 10/18, 1963) originally «Wissenschaft als Beruf » & « Politik als Beruf » 1919.

Zellman, Ariel, Review: Birth of the Leviathan by Thomas Ertman, 2008.

——

Featured image: Detail of the frontispiece of the book Leviathan by Thomas Hobbes via Wikimedia Commons.

EN