(Art direction: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli, Photo: durik1980, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons, colorised and cropped by RTAS) Since October 2022, the Russian military has regularly launched waves of missiles and drones strikes on the Ukrainian energy infrastructures. (Greg Myre, “Russia strikes, Ukraine repairs, in a battle to survive the winter”, NPR, 25 November 2022). As a …
Continue reading “War in Ukraine, Europe, and the Weaponization of Winter – Anthropocene Wars (7)”
This is the 7 July 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. Editorial: The crowdsourced signals continue to document an escalation towards war with China, which could likely then lead to World War …
Continue reading “The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 7 July 2022”
This is the 28 April 2022 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Scroll down to access the scan. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or …
Continue reading “The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 28 April 2022”
(Art direction Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli using a photograph created by Pete Linforth) Over the last decades, strategic surprises have accumulated and accelerated rather than receded. They continue to do so. Most actors, from governments and international organisations to businesses through citizens seem to be constantly and increasingly surprised by events they fail to anticipate, and thus for which …
Continue reading “Multiplicating Crises: Strategic Surprises or Strategic Shocks?”
This is the 28 October 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they …
Continue reading “The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 28 October 2021”
This is the 10 June 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). On the watch: polarisation at work, the U.S. looks for allies against China. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. …
Continue reading “The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 10 June 2021”
This is the 10 December 2020 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. The 10 December 2020 …
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This is the 28 May 2020 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access). Editorial: This week, as increasingly clear over the last month, many signals relate to and indicate that the COVID-19 pandemic’s cascading effects are at work. We highlight here some of those picked up by the scan and …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 28 May 2020”
Credit Image: ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org) Our weekly scan for geopolitical risks for 25 July 2019: from climate change to Iran through China, and Europe looking for its place in the world…. and more. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 25 July 2019”
Credit Image: ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org) Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. This week actually would tend to lack an obvious overwhelming focus. Alternatively, the accumulation of signals …
Continue reading “The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 18 April 2019”
